I called this a sort of statistical stream of conciousness because, well you know, I felt like it.
But also because I think it suits my mind, as I get so many different thoughts and ways of looking at football.
For better or worse.
Well no one is perfect!
| General |
The win ratio in home matches in the Premier League in 2021/22 is 40%.
| Can It Be That Playing Away From Home Can Sometimes Be An Advantage? |
▪ Sometimes teams/players get more space away from home.
• Sometimes it’s just football being but football but it is quite remarkable that only 40 per cent of matches played in Premier League in have been won at home in 2021/22 (with fans back in).
▪ Sometimes playing away from home can make players feel more relaxed in terms of having less pressure to play away as more of an underdog.
▪ Some teams are more suited to getting more players behind the ball, hanging in there and opt to counter attack at pace.
| 30/11/21 | 19:30 (UK) | St.James’ Park | Newcastle United Vs Norwich City |
| Newcastle United’s Exciting Home Matches / Howe Are Newcastle Going To Win A Premier League Match / A Mini Norwich City Revival (?) |
▪ St.James’ Park has seen 26 goals scored in 6 Premier League home matches in 2021/22.
• Newcastle United are one of 2 teams (Watford being the other side) in the to not have kept a clean sheet in the Premier League in 2021/22.
• At this current rate (it can change, it’s not impossible, but not particularly likely as things are at the moment), then Newcastle have to score at least 2 goals to win a match – at times Howe’s side (formly Bruce’s side) may have to score 3 or 4 goals to win a match.
| Factors/Stats In Favour Of Newcastle United |
• Newcastle United have their first choice goalkeeper (Dubravka) back, having made his first appearance of the season in GW/round 13.
▪ Newcastle United have scored 10 goals in 6 Premier League home matches.
• Newcastle United have had 14 shots on target in their previous 2 Premier League matches (since Howe was announced as manager).
| 20th Vs 19th & Newcastle United, (20th worst defence in terms of goals conceded) Vs Norwich City (19th worst defence in terms of goals conceded) |
• There has been just 3 clean sheets (all for Norwich City) kept in 13 matches between both sides in the Premier League in 2021/22.
| Stats For/Against Newcastle United |
• Norwich City have conceded in 10 of their 13 Premier League matches.
▪ Newcastle United have conceded 16 goals in 6 Premier League home matches.
▪ Wilson and Saint Maximin have scored 6 Premier League goals between themselves at home (3 each).
▪ Norwich City are unbeaten in 3 Premier League matches.
▪ Norwich City have won 2 of their 3 Premier League matches.
▪ Norwich City are unbeaten in 5 of their previous 7 Premier League matches.
| 30/11/21 | 20:15 (UK) | Elland Road | Leeds United Vs Crystal Palace |
| Leeds United Struggling For Wins / Palace On The Break |
| Factors/Stats In Favour Of Leeds United (?) |
Raphinha’s spark in attack is a boost for Leeds, Rodrigo is available again and James is off the mark for his new club – having scored against Spurs (2-1) in GW11.
▪ At the time of writing, Raphinha is 6th this season , for most shots in the league.
• Ayling & Bamford are edging closer to a return to the first time (but this match is likely to be too soon for them to feature).
▪ Crystal Palace have conceded 13 goals in 6 Premier League away matches.
| Stats Inbetween (?) |
• Leeds United conceded 20 chances on goal (4 on target) – Vs Brighton (0-0) – in GW13.
• Leeds United picked up their 2nd clean sheet in the Premier League in GW13.
• Leeds United have conceded 1 goal or less in 6 of their previous 7 Premier League matches.
Crystal Palace were beaten in the Premier League for only the 3rd time this season in GW13.
• Leeds United have only won 2 matches in the Premier League in 2021/22.
• Leeds United have only won 2 of their previous 7 Premier League matches.
| Stats In Favour of Crystal Palace (?) |
• Crystal Palace have won at the Etihad this season, as well as having been unbeaten in all but 2 of their 5 matches against the current top 7.
• Crystal Palace are unbeaten in 4 of their 6 Premier League away matches.
• Crystal Palace have scored 7 goals in their previous 3 Premier League away matches (3-3, 0-2 & 2-2).
• Crystal Palace have had 17 shots on target in their previous 3 Premier League away matches.
▪ 3 of Gallagher’s 4 goals scored in the Premier League have came away from home.
▪ Gallagher has broken from deep to link up with Crystal Palace’s forwards.
| 01/12/21 | 19:30 (UK) | St.Marys | Southampton Vs Leicester City |
| Stats In Favour of Southampton (?) |
• Southampton are unbeaten in 4 of their 6 Premier League home matches in 2021/22.
• Only Newcastle United, Norwich City & Watford have conceded more goals than Leicester City in the Premier League this season.
| Stats A Bit In Between (?) |
• Both sides have won 3 matches or less since GW4 (2 for Southampton & 3 for Leicester City).
• Southampton have only scored 2 goals or more in 1 Premier League match since GW4.
| Factors/Stats In Favour of Leicester City (?) |
| Leicester At Southampton (0-9 in 2019/20) / Vardy In Form / Vardy’s Minutes / Maddison’s Form |
▪ Vardy scored a twice in Leicester’s win against Watford in GW1 (4-2).
▪ Maddison scored and assisted in GW13, and has quitely been scoring and assisting in his previous Premier League starts, and appears to be making runs in behind.
▪ Leicester City are one of the highest scoring teams in the Premier League in 2021/22.
▪ Leicester City are unbeaten in 3 of their previous 4 Premier League matches against Southampton.
▪ Leicester City have won 3 of their previous 4 Premier League matches *against Southampton*.
| 01/12/21 | 19:30 (UK) | Vicorage Road | Watford Vs Chelsea |
| Watford Exciting Matches / Chelsea’s Unbeaten Away Record |
Watford have experienced some big highs this season, and Ranieri’s appointment has seemingly given Watford a boost, or at the absolute very least – plenty of entertainment.
• Watford’s Premier League matches since Ranieri became Watford manager have had 25 goals in them.
Chelsea have dropped points in two consecutive Premier League home matches but have won 5 of their 6 Premier League away matches.
| Watford Hot And Cold (In The Winter) |
• Watford have not kept a clean sheet in the Premier League in 2021/22.
• Watford have failed to score to in 7 of their Premier League matches but have scored 2 or more in 5 of their 13 Premier League matches.
• Watford have either won (4) or lost (8) all but 1 of their Premier League matches.
• Chelsea have scored 2 goals or more in 5 of their 6 Premier League away matches in 2021/22.
| 01/12/21 | 19:30 (UK) | The London Stadium | West Ham United Vs Brighton |
| West Ham United And Brighton Looking To Get Back To Winning Ways |
West Ham United have lost back to back Premier League matches but had won 4 consecutive Premier League matches prior to defeats against Wolves (0-1) Manchester City (2-1) in GW/round 12 & GW/round 13. respectively.
▪ Antonio has scored 4 goals at home in the Premier League this season and is 3rd for most shots in 2021/22.
▪ Brighton have not won any of their previous 8 Premier League matches.
▪ Brighton have only lost 3 Premier League matches in 2021/22.
| 01/12/21 | 19:30 (UK) | Molineux | Wolves Vs Burnley |
▪ Wolves are unbeaten in all but 1 match since GW6.
▪ Burnley are unbeaten in their previous 5 Premier League matches against Wolves.
▪ Wood scored a hat-trick in Burnley’s 0-4 win at Molineux in 2020/21.
| Cornet |
▪ Cornet has one of the best goals per minutes ratio.
Cornet has scored 3 Premier League goals away from home.
| 01/12/21 | 20:15 (UK) | Villa Park | Aston Villa Vs Manchester City |
| Villa Looking Better Again / Gerrard The Unbeaten Record Breaker / Manchester City Away From Home |
▪ Since Gerrard’s arrival at Villa Park, as manager, the former European Cup winning club and former Champions League winning player have combined collectively for Aston Villa to win back to back Premier League matches for the first time in 2021/22.
▪ Manchester City are unbeaten away from home in the Premier League since GW1.
| 01/12/21 | 20:15 (UK) | Goodison Park | Everton Vs Liverpool |
| Klopp To * Possibly * Make Changes (?) |
Klopp, in recent seasons, and around this time of the season – against Everton in particular – has raised eyebrows with his team selections.
• Only twice has Klopp started a front 3 of Salah, Firmino & Mané against Everton since being Liverpool manager.
▪ Salah has scored or assisted in every Premier League match apart from 1 in 2021/22, Salah has been rested around this time of the season – Vs Everton (5-2), Vs Burnley (1-3) & Stoke City (0-3) but may see significant minutes with AFCON currently set to go ahead in the new year.
• Given that Firmino is unlikely to feature, that pattern looks set to continue.
• Klopp has beaten Everton having used his more squad options in previous seasons.
• Klopp is unbeaten in all but 1 of his matches against Everton, having won a considerable amount of those, but with just 1 win at Goodison Park.
▪ Liverpool are unbeaten away from home in all but 1 match in the Premier League in 2021/22.
• Liverpool have scored 2 or more in every away match in all competitions this season.
• Liverpool are looking for their first Premier League victory at Goodison Park since 2016.
| 02/12/21 | 19:15 (UK) | The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | Spurs Vs Brentford |
| Spurs Quitely Better At Home / Brentford Dynamic Away From Home |
Spurs have won 4 matches at home in the Premier League in 2021/22, but will likely have to break down a Brentford side playing a back 3/5 (5 off the ball).
▪ Brentford are unbeaten in 5 of their 6 Premier League away matches in 2021/22.
▪ Brentford have scored 9 goals in 6 Premier League away matches in 2021/22.
| 02/12/21 | 20:15 (UK) | Old Trafford | Manchester United Vs Arsenal |
| Manchester United With Ralph / Arsenal Away Day Problems (?) |
Manchester United have yet to win a home match in the Premier League since beating Newcastle United (4-1) in GW4/Round 4 but will likely be in better spirits having gone two matches unbeaten since Solskjaer departed the club – as well as securing Champions League qualification for the next round.
▪ Manchester United are unbeaten in all but 1 of their Premier League home matches *against Arsenal* since 2006.
▪ Manchester United have conceded in every home match in the Premier League in 2021/22.
▪ Despite not starting in GW13, Ronaldo is 7th for most shots in 2021/22.
▪ Arsenal have only won 2 matches away from home in the Premier League in 2021/22.
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